CP Cacereño vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
50.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CP Cacereño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 2
CPC
57%
25%
18%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
CPC
0 - 0
LEG
31%
27%
42%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2010 |
CPC
0 - 0
ALC
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
ATB
1 - 0
CPC
49%
26%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
CPC
1 - 1
UBC
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
LUG
3 - 1
CER
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 2
LUG
23%
25%
52%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
PON
2 - 3
LUG
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
LUG
2 - 0
EXT
76%
16%
8%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2010 |
LUG
2 - 0
ULP
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |