Cacereño B vs Hernán Cortés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cacereño B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2004 |
CPC
2 - 2
MON
71%
19%
11%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
CIU
1 - 0
CPC
11%
18%
71%
|
32 | 11 | 21 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
CPC
3 - 2
CDZ
20%
27%
54%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | +4 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
VIL
0 - 0
CPC
25%
26%
49%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
CPC
2 - 1
DBN
15%
23%
62%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | +4 |
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
CIU
2 - 1
HER
33%
25%
42%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
HER
1 - 2
SAG
49%
24%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
GAR
1 - 4
HER
36%
25%
40%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
HER
0 - 6
ORE
51%
24%
26%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CAS
2 - 1
HER
56%
22%
22%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |