Cacém vs Atletico Tojal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
64.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cacém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
LOU
2 - 1
CAC
77%
15%
9%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
REA
2 - 0
CAC
87%
10%
4%
|
12 | 37 | 25 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CAC
1 - 4
POV
49%
22%
29%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CAC
1 - 0
PER
23%
23%
54%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ALV
1 - 0
CAC
86%
10%
4%
|
13 | 45 | 32 | -1 |
Matches
Atletico Tojal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
TOJ
3 - 2
POV
68%
18%
15%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
PER
0 - 2
TOJ
46%
23%
32%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
TOJ
2 - 1
ALV
12%
18%
70%
|
15 | 41 | 26 | +4 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
TOJ
1 - 3
OEI
31%
24%
45%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
UNI
3 - 0
TOJ
46%
23%
31%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |