Caçador vs Fluminense SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
29%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caçador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 1
CAC
58%
21%
21%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CAC
0 - 0
INT
33%
22%
45%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
CAC
1 - 0
NES
22%
20%
58%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
CRA
2 - 1
CAC
62%
19%
19%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
CAC
1 - 1
CAC
38%
22%
40%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
FFC
2 - 1
INT
27%
22%
51%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 0
FFC
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
FFC
0 - 5
CRA
29%
22%
49%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 1
FFC
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
NES
2 - 0
FFC
65%
19%
16%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |