Cabrones de Barcena vs Quirigua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
35.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cabrones de Barcena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
SAY
3 - 1
CDB
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CDB
1 - 1
MIX
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 0
CDB
50%
25%
26%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
CDB
2 - 0
DSA
30%
25%
45%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +3 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SAC
3 - 1
CDB
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Quirigua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
QUI
1 - 1
AUR
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
QUI
4 - 2
SAY
47%
23%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MIX
0 - 0
QUI
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
QUI
2 - 0
CAR
34%
24%
42%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
DSA
2 - 0
QUI
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |