Cabrones de Barcena vs Carchá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cabrones de Barcena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
SAY
1 - 0
CDB
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
CDB
2 - 2
MIX
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SAC
2 - 1
CDB
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CDB
3 - 0
DSA
29%
25%
46%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
COM
2 - 0
CDB
54%
23%
24%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
QUI
5 - 1
CAR
61%
20%
19%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
4 - 0
SAY
24%
25%
52%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +3 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
MIX
3 - 0
CAR
58%
22%
21%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 0
SAC
42%
27%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
DSA
1 - 1
CAR
70%
18%
12%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |