Cabrones de Barcena vs Aurora FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cabrones de Barcena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
QUI
1 - 0
CDB
50%
23%
27%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CDB
3 - 1
SAY
48%
23%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
MIX
1 - 3
CDB
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
CDB
3 - 2
CAR
34%
25%
41%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
DSA
2 - 1
CDB
66%
20%
15%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
DSA
2 - 0
AUR
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
AUR
2 - 1
QUI
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
AUR
1 - 0
SAC
41%
28%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
SAY
2 - 3
AUR
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
AUR
0 - 0
DEP
36%
26%
38%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |