Cabrera vs L'Empenta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
10.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cabrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2015 |
CAB
3 - 2
CAB
30%
22%
48%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
ARG
1 - 3
CAB
31%
22%
47%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
CAB
1 - 1
ALE
71%
16%
13%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
NOU
0 - 1
CAB
21%
20%
59%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
CAB
3 - 1
TPE
63%
19%
18%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
L'Empenta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
EMP
4 - 9
ARG
34%
22%
44%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
ALE
6 - 3
EMP
63%
18%
19%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
EMP
1 - 1
NOU
52%
21%
27%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
TPE
3 - 3
EMP
61%
20%
20%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
EMP
4 - 4
TIA
51%
21%
27%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -1 |