Cabrera vs Bufala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
31.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-97%
+69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cabrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
LLO
3 - 1
CAB
45%
22%
34%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
CAB
3 - 1
ACF
66%
17%
17%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CAB
4 - 3
VBM
29%
21%
50%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
JOV
3 - 2
CAB
28%
21%
51%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
DOS
2 - 3
CAB
60%
18%
21%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Bufala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BUF
4 - 1
MON
45%
21%
35%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LLO
0 - 0
BUF
70%
16%
14%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BUF
2 - 4
VBM
45%
22%
34%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
MAS
3 - 0
BUF
66%
17%
17%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
BUF
1 - 5
VIM
30%
21%
50%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |