Cabrera B vs Bufala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
20.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cabrera B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
PRE
1 - 2
CAB
44%
22%
34%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
CAB
3 - 0
UBS
61%
19%
20%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
PRE
0 - 3
CAB
36%
22%
42%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
TIA
1 - 3
CAB
39%
22%
39%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
CAB
2 - 1
MOP
13%
17%
70%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Bufala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
BUF
1 - 4
BAD
52%
20%
28%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ALE
3 - 3
BUF
58%
19%
23%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
BUF
6 - 0
CAB
60%
19%
22%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
BUF
2 - 2
MAS
22%
20%
59%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
VIM
5 - 4
BUF
70%
16%
14%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |