Cabofriense vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
65.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cabofriense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
VAS
1 - 2
CAB
85%
12%
4%
|
52 | 80 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
CAB
1 - 0
BON
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
CAB
1 - 0
RES
38%
25%
37%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
MAD
2 - 1
CAB
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
CAB
3 - 2
BAN
41%
25%
34%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
FLU
0 - 3
BOT
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
MAC
0 - 1
FLU
15%
23%
62%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
FLU
4 - 1
BOA
78%
15%
7%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
FLA
0 - 3
FLU
47%
26%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2014 |
FLU
3 - 1
AUD
85%
12%
4%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | 0 |