Cabofriense vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
45.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cabofriense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
TCW
0 - 2
CAB
27%
24%
50%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CAB
1 - 0
TCW
64%
21%
16%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
FER
3 - 1
CAB
57%
24%
19%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
CAB
0 - 0
POR
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
BAN
2 - 2
CAB
46%
27%
28%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
FER
3 - 0
BAN
61%
24%
16%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
BAN
1 - 3
FER
29%
29%
43%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
FER
3 - 1
CAB
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
MIR
1 - 0
FER
45%
28%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
TCW
2 - 6
FER
20%
28%
52%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |