Cabofriense vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
41.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cabofriense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
BOA
1 - 0
CAB
63%
22%
15%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CAB
2 - 1
BOT
11%
19%
71%
|
49 | 84 | 35 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
NOV
0 - 0
CAB
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CAB
3 - 2
MAC
27%
23%
50%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
CAB
3 - 4
VOL
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
DUQ
1 - 1
BON
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
FLA
2 - 2
DUQ
81%
15%
5%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
DUQ
0 - 1
FRI
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 0
DUQ
24%
26%
50%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
DUQ
3 - 1
BOA
34%
25%
42%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +2 |