Cabofriense vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
70.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
14%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cabofriense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
NOV
0 - 0
CAB
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CAB
3 - 2
MAC
27%
23%
50%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
CAB
3 - 4
VOL
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
BON
0 - 2
CAB
41%
26%
34%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2013 |
CAB
1 - 1
QUI
57%
23%
21%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 0
BAN
86%
11%
3%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
RES
1 - 1
BOT
12%
21%
66%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
BOT
3 - 0
CRI
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
COT
2 - 1
BOT
38%
26%
36%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 1
BOT
42%
26%
32%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |