Carioca 1 Final
Global 3-5
Cabofriense vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
60.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cabofriense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2007 |
VOL
1 - 1
CAB
57%
22%
21%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
CAB
2 - 1
VAS
11%
17%
72%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
AME
0 - 2
CAB
57%
21%
22%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
CAB
1 - 2
FRI
30%
24%
47%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
VOL
1 - 3
CAB
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2007 |
BOT
4 - 4
VAS
48%
22%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
NOV
2 - 6
BOT
15%
22%
64%
|
80 | 48 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
BOT
2 - 0
VAS
44%
23%
34%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
BOT
2 - 1
VOL
82%
12%
6%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
AME
2 - 1
BOT
18%
23%
60%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |