AFCON Qualifying 2nd Round Final
Global 3-2
Cape Verde vs Cameroon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
49.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cape Verde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
CPV
3 - 1
MAD
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
CPV
1 - 2
TUN
22%
27%
52%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
SLE
2 - 1
CPV
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
MAD
0 - 4
CPV
22%
27%
52%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
CPV
2 - 1
ZIM
43%
26%
32%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cameroon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
CMR
1 - 0
GNB
90%
8%
2%
|
87 | 56 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
LBY
2 - 1
CMR
22%
27%
52%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
CMR
1 - 0
COD
68%
20%
12%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
GUI
1 - 2
CMR
25%
27%
48%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
EGY
2 - 1
CMR
63%
20%
16%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |