Cape Verde vs Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cape Verde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
ZAM
1 - 0
CPV
51%
27%
22%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
CPV
3 - 1
NIG
64%
22%
15%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
CPV
1 - 0
MOZ
56%
24%
21%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
MOZ
2 - 0
CPV
28%
28%
45%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
CPV
2 - 1
ZAM
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
SDN
0 - 1
CGO
41%
26%
34%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
CGO
0 - 2
NGA
18%
28%
54%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
RSA
0 - 0
CGO
67%
22%
12%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
CGO
0 - 2
RSA
21%
26%
53%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
CGO
2 - 0
SDN
51%
27%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |