Cabecense vs Utrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
50.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
8º
18º
18º
46
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 47 |
7º
|
65% | |
|
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
65% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 35 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
28 | 28 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cabecense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CON
3 - 0
CAB
47%
26%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CAB
1 - 0
CAR
40%
24%
35%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CAB
0 - 1
SEV
31%
25%
44%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CAC
0 - 0
CAB
63%
21%
16%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CAB
0 - 2
XER
27%
24%
49%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Utrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
UTR
0 - 2
CAC
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
XER
0 - 0
UTR
46%
25%
28%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
UTR
4 - 2
CRD
36%
24%
40%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +3 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ESP
3 - 2
UTR
49%
23%
29%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
UTR
3 - 2
CIS
35%
25%
41%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |