Cabecense vs Conil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
62.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cabecense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CDR
2 - 0
CAB
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CAB
0 - 2
XER
22%
24%
55%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CAB
2 - 0
ALC
72%
17%
11%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
SRO
2 - 3
CAB
27%
23%
50%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
CAB
3 - 0
ADS
60%
21%
20%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Conil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
XER
2 - 2
CON
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CON
1 - 1
CEU
31%
27%
43%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CON
0 - 0
CEU
28%
27%
45%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
BET
4 - 0
CON
81%
12%
7%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
CON
2 - 0
CRD
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |