Cabecense vs Ciudad de Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
55.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cabecense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
3 - 1
CAB
44%
26%
30%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CAB
0 - 1
CAC
23%
20%
57%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CDA
1 - 0
CAB
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
CAB
0 - 1
UTR
25%
25%
51%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
SEV
2 - 1
CAB
47%
26%
28%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
CAC
0 - 2
CDL
44%
23%
32%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CDL
0 - 1
UTR
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
UDT
0 - 3
CDL
19%
24%
57%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
CDL
1 - 1
REC
36%
26%
38%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CRD
1 - 0
CDL
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |