Cabecense vs Ciudad de Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
28.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cabecense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
CAD
1 - 0
CAB
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
CAB
3 - 1
SRQ
17%
22%
61%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +4 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CDG
0 - 0
CAB
57%
23%
21%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
CAB
2 - 1
BAR
30%
26%
44%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
ESP
4 - 1
CAB
58%
21%
21%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
CDL
4 - 0
SAN
12%
20%
68%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
CDA
1 - 0
CDL
68%
19%
14%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CDL
0 - 1
CIS
26%
24%
49%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
ALC
1 - 1
CDL
55%
23%
21%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
CAD
3 - 1
CDL
76%
16%
9%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |