Vélez Sarsfield vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
VEL
2 - 1
SLO
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2002 |
BEL
2 - 1
VEL
34%
27%
39%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2002 |
VEL
2 - 2
NOB
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
IND
0 - 3
VEL
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2002 |
MOR
0 - 0
VEL
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
SPC
3 - 4
NAC
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2001 |
EME
3 - 1
SPC
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2001 |
SPC
3 - 2
OLI
36%
25%
39%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2001 |
CRZ
5 - 0
SPC
81%
13%
6%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2001 |
SPC
0 - 1
CRZ
27%
26%
47%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | -1 |