Vélez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
16.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
NOB
1 - 1
VEL
27%
28%
45%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2011 |
VEL
0 - 1
CAU
62%
22%
16%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
VEL
4 - 0
ARG
55%
24%
20%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 1
VEL
30%
27%
42%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
ARG
0 - 0
VEL
37%
28%
35%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SLO
1 - 3
RAF
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
COL
3 - 1
SLO
42%
28%
30%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SLO
0 - 1
BEL
55%
26%
20%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
BOC
1 - 1
SLO
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
SLO
3 - 1
ARG
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |