Vélez Sarsfield vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
EME
3 - 3
VEL
44%
27%
29%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
VEL
1 - 1
PEÑ
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2014 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
VEL
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
SPC
0 - 0
VEL
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
VEL
0 - 0
SLO
51%
27%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
DEF
0 - 2
DAN
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
DEF
1 - 1
RIV
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
MWA
2 - 1
DEF
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
SUD
1 - 1
DEF
29%
28%
43%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
REN
6 - 5
DEF
30%
28%
42%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |