Sporting Punta Alta vs Alvarado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
47.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Punta Alta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
SPA
1 - 2
CDC
68%
19%
13%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
SPA
1 - 3
LIN
25%
25%
49%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
RAO
3 - 1
SPA
61%
23%
16%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
SPA
0 - 1
GUT
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
DEF
0 - 0
SPA
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2008 |
LIN
4 - 3
ALV
53%
25%
23%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
ALV
1 - 0
RAO
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
GUT
1 - 1
ALV
41%
25%
34%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
ALV
0 - 0
DEF
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
TRE
2 - 4
ALV
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |