Sporting Punta Alta vs Alvarado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
46.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Punta Alta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
DVP
3 - 1
SPA
49%
24%
27%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
SPA
2 - 1
BVI
45%
24%
31%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
CSM
1 - 1
SPA
50%
24%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
SPA
1 - 1
CDC
63%
20%
17%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
SPA
0 - 3
GUT
55%
23%
23%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2007 |
RAO
1 - 0
ALV
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
ALV
2 - 3
DVP
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2007 |
BVI
2 - 1
ALV
22%
25%
53%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2007 |
ALV
1 - 1
CSM
75%
16%
9%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
ALV
2 - 2
CDC
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |