River Plate vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2025 |
RIV
3 - 0
BAR
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
BSC
2 - 3
RIV
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2025 |
RIV
4 - 1
VEL
49%
26%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
RIV
2 - 1
BOC
50%
26%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
IVT
2 - 2
RIV
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
TEC
1 - 2
IVT
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
UNI
1 - 1
IVT
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2025 |
IVT
1 - 2
EME
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
ORE
1 - 2
IVT
42%
28%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
IVT
2 - 2
RIV
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |