River Plate vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
INS
1 - 3
RIV
13%
19%
68%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
RIV
2 - 0
NAC
76%
16%
8%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
RIV
2 - 1
CEN
66%
20%
14%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
TAC
0 - 2
RIV
11%
19%
69%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
HUR
1 - 0
RIV
21%
24%
55%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
BOC
1 - 0
GOD
44%
26%
30%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
EST
1 - 0
BOC
49%
27%
24%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
BOC
1 - 0
SPT
65%
21%
14%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
NOB
1 - 3
BOC
37%
30%
33%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 0
BOC
29%
27%
45%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |