CA Lugano vs Leandro Nicéforo Alem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.7%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
49.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
LUG
1 - 0
VIC
27%
27%
46%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ARR
1 - 0
LUG
72%
18%
10%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
LUG
2 - 4
YUP
48%
26%
26%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
DPA
3 - 3
LUG
52%
25%
23%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2017 |
LUG
0 - 1
CBA
38%
27%
35%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
ALE
3 - 0
ARR
48%
26%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
YUP
0 - 2
ALE
30%
28%
42%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
ALE
3 - 0
DPA
68%
21%
11%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
CBA
0 - 0
ALE
41%
27%
33%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2017 |
ALE
1 - 0
MUÑ
69%
20%
12%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |