CA Lugano vs Leandro Nicéforo Alem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
41.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
VIC
2 - 0
LUG
58%
24%
19%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
JUU
1 - 1
LUG
67%
21%
12%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2014 |
SBA
2 - 0
LUG
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2014 |
LUG
0 - 2
SMA
19%
24%
58%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ARR
1 - 2
LUG
56%
24%
20%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
SMG
1 - 0
ALE
39%
29%
32%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
ALE
1 - 0
YUP
48%
26%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
ALE
1 - 0
JUU
42%
28%
30%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
VIC
1 - 0
ALE
41%
27%
32%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
SBA
1 - 2
ALE
39%
27%
34%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |