CA Lugano vs Leandro Nicéforo Alem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.6%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
31.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
VIC
1 - 1
LUG
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
YUP
2 - 2
LUG
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 2
ITU
39%
30%
32%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
JUU
1 - 1
LUG
43%
27%
30%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 0
CES
27%
29%
44%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ALE
1 - 0
ITU
43%
28%
29%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
JUU
1 - 0
ALE
43%
27%
29%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
ALE
1 - 0
CES
35%
28%
37%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
CLA
0 - 1
ALE
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
SMA
3 - 2
ALE
55%
26%
19%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |