CA Lugano vs Leandro Nicéforo Alem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
55.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2006 |
PUE
0 - 1
LUG
30%
25%
46%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
LUG
0 - 0
CLA
43%
25%
32%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
LUG
0 - 3
YUP
41%
25%
33%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
CBA
4 - 3
LUG
52%
24%
25%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
LUG
0 - 1
LIN
32%
26%
43%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
ALE
1 - 0
CBA
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
LIN
3 - 1
ALE
35%
26%
39%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2006 |
ALE
3 - 1
BER
41%
27%
33%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
ALE
2 - 3
CAA
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
ALE
3 - 0
CAD
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |