CA Lugano vs Juventud Unida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
31.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
CES
2 - 1
LUG
57%
25%
18%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
LUG
1 - 2
SMA
25%
26%
50%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
PUE
0 - 2
LUG
30%
27%
43%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
LUG
0 - 2
CAA
28%
28%
44%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
ARQ
4 - 2
LUG
67%
21%
11%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Juventud Unida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
JUU
1 - 1
ITU
45%
28%
27%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
JUU
0 - 0
YUP
63%
23%
15%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
CES
0 - 0
JUU
52%
27%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
JUU
1 - 1
SMA
31%
27%
43%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
PUE
0 - 1
JUU
29%
28%
42%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |