CA Lugano vs Dock Sud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
32%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2010 |
CBA
3 - 1
LUG
30%
26%
44%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
LUG
0 - 0
CLA
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
DPA
4 - 3
LUG
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
LUG
2 - 1
RIE
32%
29%
39%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
LIN
3 - 1
LUG
60%
23%
18%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Dock Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2010 |
DOC
0 - 1
YUP
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
CES
1 - 0
DOC
36%
27%
37%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
DOC
1 - 0
JUU
55%
25%
21%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
MUÑ
0 - 1
DOC
21%
25%
54%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2009 |
DOC
2 - 1
ARQ
34%
27%
39%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |