CA Lugano vs Dock Sud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
22.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
CES
0 - 1
LUG
38%
25%
37%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
LUG
2 - 2
CAA
33%
27%
40%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
MID
1 - 0
LUG
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
LUG
0 - 2
ITU
39%
28%
34%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
RIE
1 - 0
LUG
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Dock Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
DOC
1 - 1
CAA
34%
26%
40%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
ITU
2 - 0
DOC
60%
23%
17%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
DOC
0 - 3
YUP
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
CBA
0 - 0
DOC
43%
28%
30%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
DOC
5 - 2
CLA
44%
26%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |