CA Lugano vs Def. Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
35.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
LUG
1 - 1
CBA
51%
25%
25%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
DPA
0 - 2
LUG
43%
26%
32%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
LUG
1 - 0
VIC
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2007 |
LUG
1 - 0
ITU
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
MUÑ
0 - 3
LUG
29%
25%
46%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
MUÑ
0 - 3
CAD
19%
24%
57%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
CAD
1 - 0
ITU
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
CAD
0 - 0
PUE
72%
18%
10%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
BER
3 - 1
CAD
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
CAD
0 - 0
UAI
66%
21%
13%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |