CA Lugano vs Claypole analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
CAA
1 - 1
LUG
78%
15%
7%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
LUG
0 - 0
CES
77%
16%
7%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2017 |
JUU
2 - 0
LUG
65%
21%
14%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
LUG
1 - 0
PUE
30%
24%
45%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2017 |
LIN
2 - 0
LUG
61%
22%
16%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Claypole
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
CLA
0 - 1
ARM
53%
24%
23%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2017 |
MUÑ
1 - 1
CLA
39%
27%
35%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2017 |
ALE
1 - 0
CLA
68%
20%
12%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2017 |
CLA
0 - 0
VIC
36%
27%
37%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2017 |
CES
2 - 7
CLA
18%
25%
58%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |