CA Lugano vs Claypole analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
26.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
CBA
2 - 1
LUG
52%
24%
24%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
LUG
2 - 2
PUE
51%
25%
24%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
SBA
3 - 2
LUG
68%
20%
13%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
LUG
1 - 0
YUP
60%
24%
17%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CBA
0 - 1
LUG
57%
23%
21%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Claypole
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2015 |
CLA
1 - 1
MUÑ
69%
20%
11%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ARR
0 - 2
CLA
65%
20%
15%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2015 |
CLA
3 - 1
CES
54%
25%
21%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
ALE
1 - 0
CLA
65%
21%
14%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CLA
0 - 2
CAÑ
30%
28%
42%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -2 |