CA Lugano vs Claypole analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
ARR
1 - 0
LUG
38%
27%
36%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
LUG
2 - 0
DPA
64%
22%
14%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
ALE
1 - 0
LUG
46%
28%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
LUG
1 - 0
VIC
41%
28%
31%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
LUG
3 - 0
YUP
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Claypole
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
CLA
3 - 1
ITU
30%
29%
41%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
JUU
5 - 0
CLA
62%
23%
15%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
CLA
0 - 0
CES
27%
28%
46%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SMA
3 - 0
CLA
65%
22%
12%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
CLA
2 - 0
PUE
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |