CA Lugano vs Centro Español analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
38.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CLA
2 - 1
LUG
60%
23%
18%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
LUG
1 - 1
JUU
37%
27%
36%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2019 |
ARM
3 - 1
LUG
75%
17%
8%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
LUG
0 - 1
PUE
37%
24%
39%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
ARR
1 - 0
LUG
60%
22%
18%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Centro Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CES
0 - 1
YUP
64%
21%
15%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
CAM
0 - 1
CES
42%
26%
33%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
CES
1 - 0
CBA
54%
23%
23%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
CAA
2 - 2
CES
73%
16%
11%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
CES
3 - 3
MUÑ
55%
24%
21%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |