CA Lugano vs CA Atlas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
48%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
CES
2 - 0
LUG
33%
28%
39%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2017 |
RPI
0 - 1
LUG
72%
19%
10%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
LUG
0 - 0
ARR
26%
27%
47%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
LIN
2 - 1
LUG
56%
25%
20%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
LUG
2 - 1
JUU
30%
29%
42%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
CA Atlas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
CAA
1 - 1
ARM
58%
23%
20%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2017 |
CAA
2 - 0
MUÑ
73%
17%
10%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2017 |
PUE
1 - 3
CAA
31%
27%
42%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
CAA
0 - 1
DPA
59%
23%
19%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
YUP
2 - 1
CAA
18%
25%
57%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |