CA Libertad vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.3%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.4%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.7%
85%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
13.4%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19%
0-4
9.5%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
12.6%
0-5
5.4%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.9%
0-6
2.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0%
-6
3.2%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
DEF
1 - 1
PLA
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2025 |
DEF
2 - 1
CER
50%
25%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
MWA
0 - 0
DEF
43%
28%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
DEF
4 - 2
LFC
48%
26%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
DEF
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |