Lanús vs Estudiantes La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2006 |
ARS
1 - 1
LAN
43%
27%
31%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2006 |
COR
0 - 0
LAN
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
LAN
2 - 0
SLO
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
VEL
0 - 1
LAN
51%
27%
23%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
ARG
1 - 3
LAN
34%
29%
37%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
SLO
0 - 1
EST
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
EST
2 - 1
IND
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
CEN
1 - 0
EST
45%
28%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
EST
0 - 0
BAN
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
BOC
2 - 0
EST
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |