La Picada vs Guaraní A. Franco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
56.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Picada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
GAF
2 - 0
PCD
81%
13%
6%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
PCD
0 - 1
CDN
59%
20%
21%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
CDN
1 - 3
PCD
43%
22%
35%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
PCD
1 - 1
TBO
64%
18%
18%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ABM
4 - 1
PCD
78%
15%
7%
|
33 | 65 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní A. Franco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
GAF
2 - 0
PCD
81%
13%
6%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
GAF
0 - 1
VCC
78%
14%
8%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2022 |
VCC
0 - 2
GAF
29%
26%
44%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
GAF
8 - 0
CDV
86%
10%
4%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2022 |
CDN
1 - 1
GAF
17%
24%
59%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |