Independiente II vs UDELAS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
4º
2º
23
7º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 31 |
5º
|
69.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 16 |
9º
|
48.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
48.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 13 |
11º
|
68% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
IDC
1 - 4
OES
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
UFC
1 - 2
IDC
35%
25%
41%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
IDC
0 - 3
NAC
44%
26%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
UDP
0 - 0
IDC
32%
28%
40%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
IDC
4 - 1
SFF
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
UDELAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
UDP
3 - 0
UFC
54%
24%
22%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
UFC
1 - 2
IDC
35%
25%
41%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
OES
2 - 3
UFC
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
SFF
3 - 2
UFC
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
UFC
0 - 4
NAC
29%
24%
47%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |