Independiente II vs Atl. Chiriquí II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
4.5%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
4º
2º
0
8º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 31 |
5º
|
69.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 16 |
9º
|
48.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
48.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 13 |
11º
|
68% | |
|
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
VCD
4 - 1
IDC
19%
23%
59%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
HFC
0 - 5
IDC
12%
21%
67%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 3
IDC
48%
26%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
IDC
0 - 1
SFF
73%
17%
11%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
IDC
3 - 2
OES
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Chiriquí II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
UDP
8 - 1
ACH
77%
16%
7%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
ACH
1 - 9
OES
20%
24%
57%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -3 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
ACH
0 - 4
SAP
42%
23%
36%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
VCD
6 - 0
ACH
60%
20%
20%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ACH
2 - 4
CDU
53%
21%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |