Costa Brava vs Alvear analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
21.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+312%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Brava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
REC
0 - 0
COB
36%
23%
41%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
COB
1 - 0
ABT
44%
22%
34%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
COB
1 - 1
FER
35%
24%
42%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2022 |
FER
0 - 0
COB
60%
21%
19%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2022 |
COB
2 - 2
EMB
44%
23%
34%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alvear
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ABT
4 - 1
AIA
57%
20%
24%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
AIA
1 - 0
REC
48%
22%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
AIA
2 - 1
BSR
35%
23%
42%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
AIA
1 - 2
COB
47%
22%
31%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
REC
1 - 2
AIA
57%
21%
23%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |