Boca Juniors vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
54.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BOC
0 - 0
EST
38%
28%
34%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
RAC
2 - 1
BOC
48%
27%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BOC
2 - 1
CAU
50%
28%
23%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
TAL
1 - 1
BOC
47%
26%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
BEL
4 - 3
BOC
37%
30%
34%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
BAH
1 - 0
FLU
28%
25%
47%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ATM
2 - 0
FLU
45%
26%
29%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
FLU
5 - 3
GOI
68%
19%
13%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 0
FLU
37%
26%
38%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
FLU
3 - 3
COR
58%
24%
18%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |