Boca Juniors vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
BOC
3 - 0
SLO
69%
20%
12%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2019 |
JWI
0 - 0
BOC
29%
26%
45%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
CAU
1 - 3
BOC
28%
26%
46%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2019 |
DYJ
0 - 1
BOC
41%
26%
34%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
BOC
1 - 2
ATT
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
TOL
0 - 0
HUI
61%
24%
15%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2019 |
TOL
1 - 0
ATP
41%
29%
30%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
JAG
0 - 4
TOL
19%
26%
55%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
TOL
0 - 0
BUC
57%
25%
18%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ONC
2 - 1
TOL
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |