CA Bastia vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
LYO
2 - 0
CAB
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
CAB
4 - 0
MAR
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
GFO
1 - 0
CAB
26%
24%
51%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -2 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
CAB
3 - 3
AND
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
FCM
3 - 1
CAB
46%
26%
27%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
SPO
0 - 0
GAZ
50%
26%
24%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 1
SPO
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
SPO
0 - 0
FCM
31%
29%
40%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
LYO
2 - 1
SPO
28%
28%
44%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
SPO
1 - 0
FRE
37%
29%
34%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |